Service Plays Friday 07/17/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL


FRIDAY, JULY 17

Game 403-404: Toronto at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 105.289; Calgary 108.944
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 3 1/2; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Calgary by 7 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET

Week 3

Friday, July 17

TORONTO (1 - 1) at CALGARY (0 - 2) - 7/17/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL WRITE-UP

Week 3 CFL games

Friday, July 17

Toronto (1-1) @ Calgary (0-2)-- Not much defense for Stampeders this year, giving up 40 points at home to Montreal, 42 at Winnipeg a week ago, when they also had 14 penalties for 132 yards- they have given up 319 rushing yards in two games. Argos were down 37-13 at half in home loss to Roughriders last week- they had 17 penalties for 141 yards.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Reds last night.

Today's it's the Twins.

The surplus is 970 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 17, 2009

Hondo tipped his handicapper's cap yesterday to Anthony Affrunti, The Post's Puny Pony Picker, who sent Hondo to the Belmont winner's circle with Not Macho Any More in the second. As a result, including last night's loss with the Mariners, Mr. Aitch has a bankroll of 63 blankenships (which henceforth will be rounded up two in order to make it easier for his longtime accountant, CP Addemup, who likes to work in multiples of five).

Tonight, just say yes to Nolasco -- 10 units on the Fish to fry the Phils.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
41-23 run on Bonus Plays

Friday SF Giants

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

Det/ Nyy Under
Laa/ Oak Under
Dodgers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Blue Jays
A's

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Arizona at St. Louis

The Cardinals look to build on their 19-2 record in Chris Carpenter's last 21 home starts as a favorite of -200 or greater. St. Louis is the pick (-240) according to Dunkel, which has the Cards favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-240). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 17
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 15.524; Washington (Stammen) 14.179
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-140); Over
Game 953-954: San Francisco at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.795; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.313
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Over
Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 13.632; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.041
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120); Under
Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.333; Florida (Nolasco) 14.666
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Under
Game 959-960: NY Mets at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.793; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.403
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+180); Under
Game 961-962: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Garland) 15.471; St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.629
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-240); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-240); Over
Game 963-964: Colorado at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 15.030; San Diego (Geer) 15.247
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Over
Game 965-966: Houston at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 15.015; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.860
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Under
Game 967-968: Seattle at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.549; Cleveland (Ohka) 15.469
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); Under
Game 969-970: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 16.134; Toronto (Romero) 15.065
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Under
Game 971-972: Detroit at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (French) 15.246; NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.454
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-205); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-205); Over
Game 973-974: Minnesota at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Perkins) 15.728; Texas (Padilla) 16.783
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 11
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-125); Over
Game 975-976: Tampa Bay at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.713; Kansas City (Bannister) 14.049
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+110); Under
Game 977-978: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Berken) 15.544; White Sox (Danks) 14.416
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 979-980: LA Angels at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Saunders) 16.045; Oakland (Cahill) 16.557
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Philadelphia (49-38) at Florida (46-35)

The streaking Phillies hand the ball to ace Cole Hamels (5-5, 4.87 ERA) for the second game of a four-game series at Land Shark Stadium against the Marlins, who will counter with right-hander Ricky Nolasco (6-7, 5.76).

Jamie Moyer and two Philadelphia relievers combined on a one-hit, 4-0 victory in Thursday’s series opener, giving the Phillies their sixth consecutive win and their 10th triumph in their last 11 contests, a surge that comes after a 4-14 plunge. Philly continues to sport baseball’s top road record at 27-15, and the defending champs are 14-6 in their last 20 divisional contests. However, the Phils have still dropped six of their last nine on the highway and are 1-5 in their last six against righty starters.

Despite Thursday’s shutout loss, Florida has still ripped off wins in 10 of its last 12 home games and is on further upswings of 4-2 inside the N.L. East and 12-6 against lefty starters.

Philadelphia is now on a 7-2 roll against the Marlins (5-2 this year), including winning six straight games in Florida. In fact, the visitor has taken 10 of the last 12 in this rivalry. However, the Marlins have won five in a row against Hamels and are on a 4-0 run at home against the left-hander.

After losing four in a row behind Hamels, Philly prevailed in his last two starts, including a 22-1 blitzing of Cincinnati on July 6, with Hamels yielding just the one run on three hits and no walks while striking out six in seven innings. In his most recent outing Saturday, though, Hamels gave up five runs on seven hits (three homers) in six innings, getting a no-decision as Philadelphia rallied for an 8-7 home win over Pittsburgh.

Hamels is 2-3 with an inflated 6.34 ERA in seven road starts this season, and he’s 2-4 with a 4.15 ERA in eight career starts against Florida, whom he hasn’t faced this year. Overall, the Phillies are 7-3 in Hamels’ last 10 road outings, but 1-4 in his last five Friday starts.

Florida has won five of its last six backing Nolasco, with the 26-year-old going 4-1 with a solid 2.69 ERA. However, the loss came a week ago tonight in Arizona, with Nolasco getting crushed for seven runs on nine hits and a walk in six innings of an 8-0 loss. Nolasco is 4-3 with a 4.40 ERA in seven home starts this season, though he’s won his last three in South Beach, yielding just two earned runs in 23 innings for a minuscule 0.78 ERA.

Nolaso, who hasn’t faced Philly this year, is 4-3 with a 4.25 ERA in nine career appearances (six starts) against the Phillies. Also, the Marlins are 4-1 in Nolasco’s last five division starts and 15-7 in his last 22 outings as an underdog.

Philadelphia carries “under” streaks of 9-3 overall, 8-0 on Friday, 5-0 in the N.L. East, 7-3 behind Hamels on the road and 5-1-1 with Hamels facing the Marlins. Likewise, the under for Florida is on runs of 6-0-1 against lefties, 4-1 behind Nolasco and 4-0 with the righty starting at home. However, the over is 5-2 in Hamels’ last seven outings overall, and even though Thursday’s game stayed well under the total, the over is still 53-24-3 in the last 80 Phillies-Marlins battles in Miami.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Detroit (48-39) at N.Y. Yankees (51-37)

In a battle of division leaders, the Yankees return from the All-Star break with right-hander A.J. Burnett (8-4, 3.77) pitted against first-year left-hander Luke French (1-0, 1.93) and the Tigers in the opener of a three-game weekend set at Yankee Stadium.

New York was on a 13-2 tear before getting swept by the Angels in Anaheim last weekend to wrap up the first half of the season. The Yankees ended the series with Sunday’s 5-4 loss, but over the course of the three-game set, the Pinstripes were outscored 29-18. Despite that, the Yankees remain on runs of 4-1 in series openers, 22-6 against the A.L. Central, 14-6 against lefty starters and 15-7 coming off a loss.

Detroit won four out of five going into the break, all on its home field. The Tigers took two of three from Cleveland over the weekend, capped by a 10-1 blowout Sunday. Detroit is 7-2 in its last nine outings against winning teams, but the Tigers are on skids of 4-10 on the highway, 16-35 in roadies against winning teams and 2-7 against the A.L. East.

In the lone series this season between these rivals, New York took two of three at Detroit during the last week of April, outscoring the Tigers by a combined 21-10. The Yankees are also 21-9 in their last 30 home starts against Detroit.

Burnett finished the first half strong, going 4-1 with a sparkling 1.33 ERA in his last five starts, including wins in his last three outings. On July 8 at Minnesota, he allowed two runs on seven hits and four walks in 6 1/3 innings of a 4-3 victory, and he’s now surrendered just five earned runs in his last 33 2/3 innings.

Burnett is 3-1 with a 3.74 ERA in eight home starts this season, and he’s 3-1 in five career starts against Detroit, despite a bloated 8.03 ERA. He won both his starts last year against the Tigers, posting a 5.73 ERA. Finally, with Burnett hurling, the Yanks are on upticks of 4-1 at home and 4-0 against winning teams.

French has just four appearances this year, with Detroit winning all four games, including a 3-1 home victory over the Royals on July 8 in just the second start of the left-hander’s major-league career. In that contest, the 23-year-old allowed one run (on a solo homer) on six hits and a walk in 6 1/3 innings. French has one road appearance this year, giving up two runs on six hits and two walks in 4 2/3 innings of a July 3 start at Minnesota, with the Tigers winning 11-9. This will be French’s first appearance against the Yankees.

The over for New York is on rolls of 4-0 overall, 4-0 against southpaws and 4-1 at home, and in this rivalry, the over is on a 5-2 stretch. But with Burnett taking the ball, the under is on runs of 4-0 overall, 5-1 in series openers, 8-2-1 on grass and 4-1 against winning teams. Furthermore, Detroit is on “under” tears of 11-3 overall, 7-1 on the road and 9-2 on grass.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Atlanta at Indiana

The Dream look to build on their 4-1 ATS record over their last 5 road games. Atlanta is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Indiana favored by just 6. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 17

Game 651-652: Atlanta at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 110.810; Indiana 117.037
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7 1/2); Under
Game 653-654: Connecticut at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 111.260; San Antonio 109.151
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 2; 149
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+4 1/2); Over
Game 655-656: Seattle at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 109.303; Sacramento 106.817
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3); Over

 

[Yanks]

RatedPicks

MLB:

MLB 07/17 Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals pick: Chicago Cubs pts: -150 5 units
MLB 07/17 Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres pick: Colorado Rockies pts: -155 3 units
MLB 07/17 LA Angels at Oakland Athletics pick: LA Angels pts: -125 3 units

ADDED PLAY:

*MLB 07/17 Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres pick: Colorado Rockies pts: -1.5 (+105) 3 units*

Regards,
Ratedpicks

 

[Yanks]

John Morrison

Friday July 17:

Toronto -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Strider 7/17

MLB:
Phillies Under 9
Rays Under 7

WNBA:
Conn/SA Under
Seattle
Indiana

Tennis:
J. Chardy -160
L. Hradecka +120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

New York Yankees -210
San Francisco Giants -155
St. Louis Cardinals -240

 

[TheIronHorse]

DailyPowerRatings.com

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="96%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR><TD> </TD><TD vAlign=top align=right width="32%"> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=freepickwhite width="68%">DailyPowerRatings - MLB </TD><TD vAlign=top align=right width="32%" rowSpan=4>

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=freepickwhite1>Friday, July 17th</TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>5* Star - 6+ Run Differential (Highest-Rated 3 Unit Play)
4* Star - 5 Run Differential (2 Unit Play)
3* Star - 4 Run Differential (1 Unit Play)
2* Star - 2 to 3 Run Differential (Slight Edge)
1* Star - 0 to 1 Run Differential (No Play Recommended) </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD vAlign=top align=right width="32%"> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2><TABLE style="BORDER-RIGHT: #000000 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #000000 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #000000 1px solid" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="99%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=whitetext4 vAlign=top align=middle width="26%" bgColor=#000000 height=30>Team
(Game*)</TD><TD class=whitetext4 vAlign=top align=middle width="23%" bgColor=#000000>Game Rating
(Point Differential)</TD><TD class=whitetext4 vAlign=top align=middle width="10%" bgColor=#000000>Vegas
Line </TD><TD class=whitetext4 vAlign=top align=middle width="9%" bgColor=#000000>Our
Line</TD><TD class=whitetext4 vAlign=top align=middle width="8%" bgColor=#000000>Power
Rating</TD><TD class=whitetext4 vAlign=top align=middle width="8%" bgColor=#000000>Starting Pitcher</TD><TD class=whitetext4 vAlign=top align=middle width="9%" bgColor=#000000>Home/
Away</TD></TR><TR><TD class=brdbotright bgColor=#ffffff height=28> (953) San Francisco</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#dc0100>3* Star </TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-140</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-1</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>-2</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>0</TD></TR><TR><TD class=brdbotright bgColor=#ffffff height=28> (954) Pittsburgh</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff></TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>130</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>0</TD><TD class=brdbotright align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>0</TD></TR><TR><TD class=brdbot bgColor=#e6e6e6 colSpan=7 height=6> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD align=left colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD class=freepickwhite1 colSpan=2>Today's Play:</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>3* San Francisco (-140) 1 Unit Play</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Yanks]

Free Silver Key Pick for Friday ML Baseball

TORONTO ROMERO -L -120 Over Boston (7:05 et)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SafestWagers

Pick 4, Pick 3's, Doubles:
Race 6) 3/6/9 (If a scratch, condense)
Race 7) 1/5/10 (If a scratch, add #3)
Make this first add-in for any scratches.
Race 8) 3/4/8 (If a scratch, add # 6)
Race 9) 3/6/7 (If a scratch, add # 12)

BELMONT: Friday, July 17th, 2009

Race 7) 6 Furlongs Clm 16000N1YN1X Selections: 4/1

# 5 Nacasolo*
Last race was his first start of the year, and connections thought they
could wire the field. He got caught in an early duel on a yielding surface and
eventually tired. Latest lines make him appear like one who needs the front,
but that has not been the case during his career. Has shown he can fire strong
with one start under his belt, and faces lesser today.
Attractive morning line of 8-1.

Safer Bet:
a) # 5 to Win, Place or Show

Exotics:
b) Trifecta Box: 1/3/5/10 (If a scratch, add # 11)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Savannah Sports

MLB Baseball

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) San Francisco -152
3 (***) Cincinnati Over 10